Japan’s population is going to dwindle soon,
according to researchers.
It has been
expected that Japan will encounter this turning point for a couple of
decades. Decreasing population is straightly connected to declining of the
national power. Therefore, the Japan government has been keen to address this
issue. In 2007, Abe administration developed the Minister of State for Measures
for Declining Birthrate against the recent
domestic tendency of low birth rate. Not certainly to be thankful for this measure, the birth rate is
slightly increasing in recent years.
However, it is not relieving at all. Even
if the birth rate is doubled in coming
some years, the situation would not be changed.
Children cannot make a baby. In other words, the population of Japan a couple
of decades after now has already been fixed.
In 2048, the number of Japanese will be lower than 100 million, reduced by 20 %
from now.
In addition, the shape of the pyramid of the population
is quite twisted in Japan. Fewer young people will have to support elder people’s
life. It is another problem damaging the
productivity in Japan. Several aged people are suffering from physical
illnesses. It means more costs of health care and welfare will be needed. The
fewer young people live in the city, the
less likely the city becomes active. Elder people are less likely to make an innovation, although they have particular
needs.
There are several hypotheses why Japan’s
population is decreasing. Before considering it, we should be aware of the
history. In the 1960s, the Japan government was worrying about the excessive
population. The situation was reversed at
all. Forcasting the future is so difficult that China has also failed to control its population.
After the WWII, Japanese were willing to make children, thanks to the
peace, and was hopeful for the future,
albeit they were poor and insecure.
Compared to those days, Japanese is given prosperity and security at the level
we have not got ever. There are many entertainments than making love. Thus, fertility
as a human being is damaged by fertility in material, cultural, or spiritual
concept.
Anyway, Japanese is decreasing. We will not see the development of the
society like the previous days again. We have to consider how to decline
without pain.
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